INDIA DEFENCE CONSULTANTS

WHAT'S HOT? –– ANALYSIS OF RECENT HAPPENINGS

NPT REVIEW CONFERENCE ENDED IN CHAOS

An IDC Analysis

 

New Delhi, 31 May 2005

As predicted the outcome of the NPT Review Conference came to naught. One did not realise that Diplomats could spend one month and millions of dollars and still achieve nothing. The NPT is a limping horse that need not be flayed any more as the nuclear horse has fled –– the Genie is out of the bottle –– and we are convinced that Iran, North Korea and Brazil will go nuclear as they are all a screw driver turn away form producing the bomb.

If China continues to browbeat Japan, that nation will demand to be free from US clutches for defence and then will go nuclear. That may be good for India. India and Pakistan announced their status, steered secret programmes and India did it with quiet finesse. The financing and how much was spent will be a mystery as late PM Narasimha Rao said that he had briefed PM Vajpayee. We wonder if he had similarly briefed PM Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi, as now they are the de facto C’s-in-C of the Indian Armed Forces.

With South Africa’s Denel in trouble with MOD and their Defence Minister not being invited for a joint meeting, the Brazil, South Africa and India Defence Agreement saw some strains at the NPT Conference. An article from Indian Express and American views that India should be accepted into the treaty is a ploy to get India closer to a seat in the UN Security Council. PM Manmohan Singh is due to visit UK and USA in July and he should be able to steer clear of this issue. If he is accompanied by EAM Natwar Singh then our EAM should continue to sing his disarmament song, which he is so good at doing.

In India a PTI report quoted US Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for non-proliferation, Andrew K. Sammel, as saying in a statement to the 2005 review conference on NPT in New York that:

"The United States shares the view that the conference should reinforce the goal of universal NPT adherence. That goal is for Israel, India and Pakistan to eventually join the treaty as non-nuclear weapon states."

And further:

"Let me reiterate that the United States remains committed to NPT universality. We recognize, however, that India and Pakistan may not join the treaty for the foreseeable future."

What was the purpose in making such redundant and unhelpful assertions? This means that the US administration is yet to get its act together on the US–India front on nuclear issues and we must take full advantage of this impotency on USA’s part?

 

US Wants India To Be A Non-Nuclear Weapon State

Press Trust of India

Wednesday, May 25, 2005

 

Washington. The United States wants India, Pakistan and Israel to "eventually" become non-nuclear weapon states, but recognizes that it is an impossible goal now.
US Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for non-proliferation, Andrew K. Sammel, in a statement to the 2005 review conference on NPT in New York said: "The United States shares the view that the conference should reinforce the goal of universal NPT adherence. That goal is for Israel, India and Pakistan to eventually join the treaty as non-nuclear weapon states."
"The situation in South Asia also poses unique challenges. Let me reiterate that the United States remains committed to NPT universality. We recognize, however, that India and Pakistan may not join the treaty for the foreseeable future," the statement, released in Washington, said.
"We remain deeply concerned by the dangers posed by nuclear weapons and their delivery systems in South Asia and do not believe they enhance regional security."
"We welcome recent signs of improved relations between India and Pakistan.
We continue to urge both countries to end their nuclear and missile competition, and to discuss and implement confidence-building measures designed to reduce regional tensions and diminish risks that nuclear weapons could be used, either intentionally or accidentally, in a crisis."

"As part of our active bilateral dialogues with India and Pakistan," Sammel said, "We continue to urge these countries not to conduct nuclear tests, to bring an early end to the production of fissile material for nuclear weapons - and in that context to support the immediate start of negotiations on a fissile material cut off treaty to prevent onward proliferation, and to bring their export controls in line with international standards.”

"We also remain cognizant of our non-proliferation commitments and objectives when considering how to improve our bilateral relations with each country. Our actions with both India and Pakistan continue to be consistent with our NPT obligations and with our commitment to the nuclear suppliers group guidelines."

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